TV wants more money.

Annual inflation in August compared to last year month of 2015 fell to 6.9 percent. Most likely, it will go down further, caution indicates a Central Bank with the caveat that inflationary risks remain, including from the prices of food commodities. “Despite the decline in inflation expectations in August, it was premature to talk about the formation of a positive trend in their dynamics”, – said in the comments of the Central Bank.

still Waiting for the catch is primarily from household appliances, experts say “RG”. “Until the end of the year I expect growth of prices of appliances, gadgets, perfumes, clothing – goods that are produced abroad and the price that all risks of currency fluctuations,” – said the Dean of the graduate school of corporate management, Ranepa, Professor Sergey kalenjyan.

so that the main risks of growth of prices for food products lie in the unfavorable exchange rate, agrees the analyst of investment company “Discovery Broker” Andrei Kochetkov: “excessive weakening of the domestic currency can be expected to increase prices for a significant part of household appliances, wearable electronics and computer equipment. The growth of prices for non-food goods associated with exchange rate and hidden inflation in the world. At first glance, the prices of durable goods do not change, but the statistical analysis, this growth is quite obvious.”

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the Behavior of sellers of non-food items from different sellers food: if food products are often relatively short shelf life, they need to sell faster, even at lower prices, clothing and household appliances can be kept in the warehouse, said Sergei kalendzhyan. In addition, food and non-food items differ in the level of localization. If our agriculture demonstrates growth, it is to talk about the success of import substitution in the production of household equipment or clothing too early.

to Give advice, now you need to run to buy, it is meaningless. The list of goods that “can jump” is unpredictable. “In principle, can shoot any product that undergo boom – said Georgy Ostapkovich, Director of the Center for business studies, Institute for statistical studies and Economics of knowledge, HSE. – Still selectively-savings model of consumer behavior. The population, especially low-and middle-income sweeps the product off the shelves. But appears too large pent-up demand for industrial goods. For a long time – about a year – people aren’t buying washing machines, televisions and other goods if they are not vital. But all sometime comes to an end. And apparently, the Central Bank think that somewhere in the New year people still go to buy non-food goods. And once that happens, they immediately begin to increase in price.”

Prices on appliances, computers, clothing and other nonfood goods and so slowly reduce the temp. Despite the decline in inflation, the rate of appreciation of non-food products remained high, noted in the TSB. “It is estimated that this is due to increased growth of producer prices in some segments of the manufacturing industry and the weakening of anti-inflationary pressure from the demand side”, – stated in the comments of the regulator.

overall inflation in August decreased by 0.3 percentage points, corresponds to the forecast of the Central Bank, according to which it will continue to slow and the year will amount to 5.5-6 percent, next year it is projected at 4 percent.

the Economy

Arkady Dvorkovich promises growth

Russia’s Economy may enter a growth phase in the coming months, said Deputy Prime Minister Arkady Dvorkovich on the TV channel “Russia 24″.

According to him, this is possible thanks to the reduction of inflation, gradual reduction of the key rate and interest rates. “Some sectors are increasing quite steadily, – said Deputy Prime Minister. We are gradually build the system of export support. Non-oil exports has already started to grow.”

Infographic: RG / Leonid Kuleshov / Elena Berezina