Photo: TUT.BY
Political analyst Alexander Klaskouski told “Salidarnasts” than for the authorities is fraught with the fall rating of the president. Plus -. ByNet reaction
Independent Institute of Socio-Economic and Political Studies spread information on the results of a national survey conducted in March 2016. According to the results, the rating of Lukashenko declined to 27.3% in March this year. This is not the limit: The minimum rating of the head of state was recorded in September 2011 – 20,5%
– Rating Lukashenko has not yet reached the bottom in the current situation, – to express. comments “Salidarnasts” says political commentator Alexander Klaskouski . – One of these days is expected to sign the decision to raise the retirement age. And it would be another negative factor, because the issue touches even the usually apolitical citizens. Therefore, it is possible that the next poll quarter fix the conquest of the historical minimum in 2011.
Of course, it irritates the current head of state. Because, though, for all that worked out all the mechanisms to achieve “elegant” and the result of the entire work force of administrative resources during election campaigns, it is absolutely clear: to manipulate the popular vote can be to a certain extent. Later there is a situation, when all it is not go into any gates.
And when actually loses all the popularity of one or another authoritarian leader, then, as a rule, begins the confusion and vacillation in its environment. The siloviki have weighed: and whether we should rush into the breach for the regime. Those who count the votes, also thought: what if the power will be replaced and will be responsible for rigging
That is, Lukashenko understands that it is necessary to rely not only on the administrative resource, but also the fact that. somehow keep the real popularity. While he is trying to do this with some simulated actions such as this show the alleged untwisting back utility tariffs.
But it is clear that the resources of these performances also largely exhausted. And if the Russian analysts say that they have won the TV refrigerator, then we have this topic IISEPS it shows that in the consciousness of Belarusians still half-empty refrigerator outweighs the TV.
Another downside personalistic regime when he his head all the time insisted that the country should be a politician, is now half of Belarusians blame for the crisis is the country’s leader.
in summary, we can say that in the next year or two we can hardly expect strong social protests. But if the pressure in the boiler will increase the social, the cover will break sooner or later, even with all the patience of the Belarusians.
In the meantime, this cover somehow move to let off steam, the authorities do not intend to. Because economic, and especially political reforms – they are afraid of. While the looming situation further degradation of the system with the danger of a social explosion at some stage.
«The number coincides with the number of officials and security forces»
These fresh poll caused a storm of discussion forums. Here are my favorites from the comments on talks.by discussion platform:
«The actual numbers, rather than dust in the eyes. Everyone knows, but stubbornly silent, to the election of a bone thrown again and … voila: 80-90%. How tired of this bluff and deception!. »
« For the authorities it is more important news that obtained another loan, and “ratings” do not care about it. With so many security forces per capita and fragmented opposition can conduct any elections with the known result ».
« Just a couple “for the popular” solutions and a comma can endure. “
«The number coincides with the number of officials and security forces.”
No comments:
Post a Comment