Refrigerator overtakes TV – Vedomosti

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The question of how much economic reality influences the support of the authorities, discusses post-Soviet history. Perhaps the new data will be available soon on this topic.

During the 2014-2015 biennium. we have seen that power easily, with a reserve compensates for the economic failures of foreign policy mobilization. Putin’s rating reached 88%, it did not affect the devaluation, rising prices and unemployment, declining living standards. First, in obese and non-military years (ie. E. With the exception of 2008), was rated as high, and, as they said, “Teflon”. Sociologists attributed this to the fact that the President’s rating has a symbolic character, he does not express an assessment of certain actions the leader, but a complex mass of expectations associated with them. “Military” rating of 2008 or 2014-2015. Thus includes a bonus for the restoration of “the greatness of power” for the justification of the concrete expectations.

However, in the fat years there have been doubts about this theory. For example, Daniel Treisman of the University of California at Los Angeles, comparing data on the economic situation of the population and support President Putin figures, I came to the conclusion that the latter is directly related to the first, but with some time lag (about a year). . Painting 2012-2013,, however, demanded a new explanation – then income and subjective assessment of the economic situation continued to grow, and the rating has fallen to 63-65%. Treisman is linked with an increase in citizens’ awareness (we assume here and some political deviation in the negative because of “castling” and the subsequent opposition protests).

What do we see now?

According to the “Levada-center”, the Russians felt that the economic situation is getting worse, in February – March 2015. After some recovery in the spring and summer to the end of the year social pessimism began to grow again. From October last year to February of the current approval of Vladimir Putin’s activities decreased from 88 to 81%, and the approval of the current situation in the country – from 61 to 54% (disapproval rose from 25 to 34%). The main complaint, however, the citizens address the governors (and a number of protests in the regions is confirmed).

Whatever it was, it took about a year since the beginning of realization of the seriousness of the crisis. And the crisis is deepening. So watch out for the polls.